May 10th, 2019

Heineken Cup Final-Saracens v Leinster Preview

Saracens v Leinster, England v Ireland, Farrell v Sexton, what a fascinating match-up we have this Saturday!

The two European heavyweights will do battle for the European Champions Cup in one of the most eagerly anticipated finals for years.

Leinster are bidding for back to back Champions Cups, their fifth in total and Saracens are searching for their third Champions Cup in four years. Something has got to give between these European powerhouses!

Games of this magnitude are often won by the smallest of margins; a moment of controversy, a moment of ill-discipline or a moment of individual excellence. With so much talent on display, there are potential match winners littered across both sides which should make for a gripping contest.

Key Battle: Owen Farrell v Johnny Sexton

The two British and Irish Lions are vital to their team’s chances this Saturday.

Farrell epitomizes everything that is good about Saracens – a true understanding of the game, uncompromising in defense and a consummate professional willing to go the extra mile for his teammates.

Sexton, on the other hand, has a few more strings to his bow. His tactical nous and x-factor see’s him widely regarded as the best fly-half in the northern hemisphere with a little more to offer in attack than Farrell.

In knockout rugby, winning the territorial battle is often the key to winning the match. Whoever can control the game better will get their team on the front foot and have a big say in the outcome of Saturday’s final.

Tip: Leinster Half Time / Saracens Full Time 13/2

This match is destined to be close so I can’t be tempted by the match result market with both sides so evenly matched.

That said, I believe I have found a bit of value for an interest in the big final – Leinster to be leading at half time but Saracens to go on to win.

The logic behind this selection is that Saracens usually adopt a defensive style of rugby. They back their defence and look to frustrate their opponents, grinding them into submission in the latter stages of the match.

Assuming Saracens plan to soak up the early pressure, this sets Leinster up for a narrow half time lead. Post half time I expect the Saracens to use their power game, bringing on the experienced Schalk Burger and using their bench to turn the tide in their favor.

Ultimately I see Saracens sneaking a narrow victory in a fiercely contested match that will be a great advert for rugby.

Check out our market on the big game tomorrow on