October 6th, 2018

KEW THE CELEBRATIONS FOR A P O’BRIEN

Kew Gardens fancied to follow up his St Leger success as the value against Enable in this weekend’s Arc de Triomphe

 

What a weekend of racing in prospect! Longchamp has two thrilling days of racing in store as well as feature cards at Ascot and Newmarket.

If that isn’t enough, we have a couple of fascinating races at Gowran Park as the Jumps season stamps its mark at this early stage of October..

 

THE ARC

Let’s get straight into the action with the Prix De L’Arc de Triomphe and Enable certainly looks the most likely winner. I’m a huge fan of her, she has only tasted defeat once and is a very worthy favourite. Perfectly drawn, 5-time winner Dettori on board, everything looks set for a big run. However, she has only run once this year and with the strong Ballydoyle hand she will get a very competitive lead and with her lightly raced season she is opposable at the price.

Step forward St Leger winner KEW GARDENS. He won Doncaster’s feature very easily and this step back in trip should be fine given the very strong early pace. He travels so well into his races now and connections have found the key to how to run him. He has an underrated turn of foot and the stable couldn’t be in better form. I think he will be in the top 3 for sure and at a double-figure price, he is a good each-way bet against the favourite.

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ALSO AT LONGCHAMP..

 

Think Pink Dogwood for the red-hot O’Brien yard can run well in Sunday’s opener. A strong early pace could be perfect to settle the highly talented Boitron in the 1.55.

Mabs Cross could be a great each-way bet in the Prix De L’Abbaye with consistent form figures, and a big prize surely coming sooner rather than later.

Gustav Klimt might find his day in the Prix De La Foret with trip and conditions set to suit and talent still yet to be unearthed.

 

SATURDAY AT ASCOT

 

With heavy rain falling as I type this, it changes the dynamic massively potentially at Ascot.

MR LUPTON should be one to benefit from such conditions and loves a strong pace to aim at and has been running better than ever this season and the rain could be against some of his rivals in the opener.

The Cumberland Lodge Stakes looks very classy but the rain will suit BLAKENEY POINT who has been terrific this season and looks overpriced. First Eleven is a worthy favourite and if handling conditions will take all the beating but at the odds, I like Roger Charlton’s tough competitor.

The rain could be a big negative for LIMATO but he has too much class I think in the Bengough Stakes, but he’s not the soundest betting proposition, but on a going day should win this and land the hat-trick.

IL PRIMO SOLE is one I think has a big Class 2 Handicap in him but I’m again worried about the rain, he’s drifting to a very backable price given his potential class.

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NEWMARKET

My big interest at Newmarket is LAURENS in the Sun Chariot Stakes who looks amazing value. She’s one of the toughest I’ve seen as everytime a horse comes to pass her she finds more. She will take all the beating and I believe the form of her last run and despite market support for Wind Chimes, she has more to answer on today’s ground and track.

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SNOW WIND looks overpriced in the last after beating the favourite Crystal Moonlight on penultimate start. I’m willing to forgive her last run in Listed Company and interestingly is the choice of James Doyle over market principle Klassique. Looks a cracking each-way price.

 

GOWRAN PARK

Interested to see how FELIX DESJY gets on, on hurdle debut after very smart bumper form. Bred to be better over jumps and is clear of these on bumper form.

RANDALLS UR POET has placed in 11 of his 12 hurdle starts and is good each-way price again in the 3.05.

We have a cracking race in the 3.40 even with Ballyoisin’s withdrawal. Ryanair Winner BALKO DES FLOS is clear on ratings and should win it fit and fresh but don’t discount last years winner A Toi Phil and the talented Peregrine Run looks a fair each-way price also.

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Best Bets

LAURENS 3.15 NEWMARKET

KEW GARDENS E/W 3.05 LONGCHAMP (SUNDAY)