Lee Westwood
November 6th, 2018

Nedbank Golf Challenge Preview

By Angus Macartney

 

Setting the scene

The European Tour heads to South Africa for the penultimate event of the 2018 season.

The South African, and defending champion Branden Grace is joined by local star Rory McIlroy as he looks to find form and peak for the season-ending event in Dubai.

A win for Rors will give him a mathematical chance of topping the Race to Dubai if he can gain back to back victories over the next two weeks.

Measuring nearly 8000 yards, the course on paper should suit a bomber off the tee.

However, historically the officials have had free reign to set the course up as they see fit; this means they will use different tees throughout the week so the course won’t necessarily play its full yardage.

In addition, in South Africa, the altitude will also cause the ball to fly further than they are used to.

It’s hard to pinpoint which style of golf is suited to this track and my tips this week all have different attributes that will hold them in good stead over the week.

 

Who should you back?

 

Lucas Bjerregaard @ 22/1 (E/W)

 

Lucas Bjerregaard

The Dane is in the form of his life breaking onto the scene with an impressive win at the Alfred Dunhill links.

If you believe in players trending towards wins with their form, Bjerregaard’s statistics are extremely impressive. In seven of his last eight events, he has finished in the Top 20 with six of those finishes being in the Top 10.

He is oozing confidence for good reason given he is in contention almost weekly.

He has no glaring weaknesses to his game averaging a staggering 321 yards off the tee and following it up with nearly 75% GIR.

If he can take care of the par 5’s with his power, keep his mistakes to a minimum, Lucas will be a factor on Sunday.

 

Lee Westwood @ 33/1 (E/W)

 

Lee Westwood

Westy is enjoying a quietly impressive run over recent weeks as he tries to capture his first European victory since 2014.

His season stroke average of sub-70 rivals his 2011 stats where he began the year as the World No.1. It’s incredible that he has been able to shoot these scores after a loss of form in recent years.

With a premium on accuracy this week, this should suit Lee. He has proved he is a quality ball striker and his consistency could be crucial.

The altitude will help Lee maximise his distance and he will be confident he can challenge over the weekend.

 

Adrian Otaegui @ 80/1 (E/W)

 

Adrian Otaegui

At 80/1 Otaegui offers real value this week.

At 25, the Spaniard is already a two time champion on Tour. In recent months he has struggled for form, this could explain his huge price.

However, he must have worked something out in practice posting an impressive T3 finish last week in Turkey.

He will be confident that his hard work and improvement has held up under tournament conditions and will hope to bring this form to South Africa.

He brings a powerful game with his main strength being power and accuracy off the tee. This will make him a very dangerous proposition.

 

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